自己整理的GMAT8月作文AA狗狗及基本思路

Honeytea

1 “Local clothing stores reported that their profits decreased, on average, for the three-month period between August 1 and October 31. Stores that sell products for the home reported that, on average, their profits increased during this same period. Clearly, consumers are choosing to buy products for their homes instead of clothing. To take advantage of this trend, we should reduce the size of our clothing departments and enlarge our home furnishings and household products departments.”
错误：1。 数据证明不充分。仅仅3个月的报告不足为证，不具有代表性，没有说服力。
           2． 过去的3个月的销量并不代表着今后的销量。说不定只是这3个月衣服卖少了，之后人们会买更多的衣服也说不定。因为衣服是必需的。
          3． 不能就因为这3个月的报告就断定说人们买家用品比买衣服多。因为他不知道其他地方的数据，应该要进行比较后才能得出结论。无端的假设。说不定人们是到另一些地方买衣服，在这里买家用，因此人们并没有以home用品代替clothing.

Honeytea

2 “Over the past decade, the price per pound of citrus fruit has increased substantially. Eleven years ago, Megamart charged 5 cents apiece for lemons, but today it commonly charges over 30 cents apiece. In only one of these last eleven years was the weather unfavorable for growing citrus crops. Evidently, then, citrus growers have been responsible for the excessive increase in the price of citrus fruit, and strict pricing regulations are needed to prevent them from continuing to inflate prices.”
Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc.
错误：1。 只把天气因素考虑了进去，认为就是天气因素导致种植者提价。说不定还有其他factors，比如monetary inflation, increased distribution and labor costs, or alterations in supply and demand conditions。应该在排除以上因素后才能得出定论。说不定不是种植者的责任。
       2． 为什么一定要政府的介入government intervention。在自由市场经济下，可以通过其他更加好的方式来解决。比如boycotting a product and thereby influencing supply and demand conditions of the commodity is an effective means of influencing the price of the product. In a free market economy the call for price regulation by the government should occur only when all other means to rectify the problem have been exhausted.

Honeytea

3 “Since Disc Depot, the music store on the next block, began a new radio advertising campaign last year, its business has grown dramatically, as evidenced by the large increase in foot traffic into the store. While the Disc Depot’s owners have apparently become wealthy enough to retire, profits at Carlo’s Clothing have remained stagnant for the past three years. In order to boost our sales and profits, we should therefore switch from newspaper advertising to frequent radio advertisements like those for Disc Depot.” (pool第124题)
错误：1。人流量增加并不代表生意就好，说不定很多人只看不买。
      2. false analogy. 服装店和音像店是不一样的。音像店更加与radio 等有联系。
      3． 音像店的成功也许不仅仅是因为改变了宣传方式，还有其他原因要考虑并排除。相同的，服装店的停滞可能也不仅仅是因为宣传方式的问题，还有其他因素。

Honeytea

4 。A small restaurant owner, George, opened a pita restaurant in a college town Sallon. His restaurant has been quite successful for the last 2 years. So he decided to open another 3 restaurants in nearby cities and towns. He also plans to promote his 3 employees who have been trained under him to be the managers of the new restaurants. He expects his profits will trip after all restaurants are opened.
错误：1。 All things are equal. 过去两年不代表将来。
      2． 他的3名员工不一定能胜任。没有证据说明他们很能干。
      3． 无端的假设。没有证据证明利润一定会翻倍。利润由收入和成本决定，在收入增加的同时，成本也在增加，利润的增减还不一定。

Honeytea

6． Greentree Grocers has been experiencing high sales volume but decreasing profit margin. Its customers are wealthy people looking for gourmet food and luxury shopping experience, so it must cut costs without hurting the customers' shopping experience. So it plans to layoff 10 employees per store and eliminate expensive displays and free samples. In addition, it will partner with XX Cafe to have a coffee shop in each store. This is supported by a recent survey that the Grocers and the Cafe attract similar types of customers. The conclusion is that Greentree Grocers will experience high sales volume as well as high profit margin.
错误：1。 没有证据证明消除昂贵的展览摆设及免费的样品就不会hurt顾客的shopping experience。说不定消除了这些，顾客们会觉得没意思了。
      2． 增加咖啡馆会增加成本。并且调查不充分，共同吸引多少顾客不明确，可能只是小部分。
      3． 无端的假设。没有证据充分证明将会有高的销售量及高利润。利润与收入成本有关。

Honeytea

7． “Our total sales have increased this year by 20 percent since we added a pharmacy section to our grocery store. Clearly, the customer’s main concern is the convenience afforded by one-stop shopping. The surest way to increase our profits over the next couple of years, therefore, is to add a clothing department along with an automotive supplies and repair shop. We should also plan to continue adding new departments and services, such as a restaurant and a garden shop, in subsequent years. Being the only store in the area that offers such a range of services will give us a competitive advantage over other local stores.” (pool第44题)
错误：1。 Casal oversimplification杂货店的销售额增加不一定是药店部门起的作用。说不定药店部门没有利润，是其他部门起的作用。比如食品质量提高或人们又更多的需求等。
     2． 销售额增加并不代表利润就增加，因为利润和收入和成本有关。
     3．错误类比：就算加入了pharmacy引起了收入提高，也不能说增加的clothing和其他也会引起收入。很可能人们不是因为convenience，而是对medicine的需要。很可能其他的，人们更愿意到special shops。
     4． 没有证据证明这是个only store.无端的假设。

Honeytea

8． “Commercial real estate prices have been rising steadily in the Sandida Heights neighborhood for several years, while the prices in the adjacent neighborhood of Palm Grove have remained the same. It seems obvious, then, that a retail space in Sandida Heights must now be much more expensive than a similar space in Palm Grove, which was not the case several years ago. So, it appears that retail spaces in Sandida Heights are now overpriced relative to those in Palm Grove. Therefore, it would be in our financial interest to purchase a retail space in Palm Grove rather than in Sandida Heights.” (pool B6)
错误：1.没有证据证明第一句话可以推出第二句话。
      2． 零售空间和很多因素有关，不能仅以价格来决定。和需求等都有关。
      3． 最后一句话无依据。

Honeytea

9． “When the Apogee Company had all its operations in one location, it was more profitable than it is today. Therefore, the Apogee Company should close down its field offices and conduct all its operations from a single location. Such centralization would improve profitability by cutting costs and helping the company maintain better supervision of all employees.”
错误：1。 causal oversimplification: It is imprudent to conclude that the establishment of the field offices is the only reason explaining the decline of the profit.
     2． 过去不代表将来
     3． Either-or choice.可以两者结合。Can have the field offices under centralized control

Honeytea

10. “Currently, more professional accountants use SmartPro accounting software than any other brand. However, in the market for personal accounting software for non-professionals to use in preparing their income tax returns, many of our competitors are outselling us. In surveys, our professional customers repeatedly say that they have chosen SmartPro Software because our most sophisticated software products include more advanced special features than competing brands. Therefore, the most effective way for us to increase sales of our personal accounting software for home users would clearly be to add the advanced special features that our professional software products currently offer.” (pool B9)
错误：1。 调查中只显示了专业人员的需求及态度，并没有非专业人员的需求，因此不充分。
      2． 在个人理财软件中加入更先进的功能不一定会吸引非专业人员，因为专业人员及非专业人员的需求是不一样的。错误的类比。
      3． 没有提供什么原因导致竞争对手卖的非专业软件更抢手。

Honeytea

11． “Over time, the costs of processing go down because as organizations learn how to do things better, they become more efficient. In color film processing, for example, the cost of a 3-by-5-inch print fell from 50 cents for five-day service in 1970 to 20 cents for one-day service in 1984. The same principle applies to the processing of food. And since Olympic Foods will soon celebrate its twenty-fifth birthday, we can expect that our long experience will enable us to minimize costs and thus maximize profits.”  (pool 第1题)
错误：1。 Causal oversimplification.没有证据证明是因为组织学到了how to do things better.还有其他因素需要考虑并排除。
      2． false analogy.电影业和食品业是不一样的。
      3． 无端的假设。最后一句话没有理由，因为经历了25年并不代表他们学到很多，没有证据。