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GWD-24-14

24-14: In 1983 Argonia’s currency, the argon, underwent a reduction in value relative to the world’s strongest currencies. This reduction resulted in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports over 1982 levels. In 1987 a similar reduction in the value of the argon led to another increase in Argonia’s exports. Faced with the need to increase exports yet again, Argonia’s finance minister has proposed another reduction in the value of the argon.

Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that the finance minister’s plan will not result in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports next year?

A) The value of the argon rose sharply last year against the world’s strongest currencies.

B) In 1988 the argon lost a small amount of its value, and Argonians exports rose slightly in 1989.

C) The value of Argonia’s exports was lower last year than it was the year before.

D) All of Argonia’s export products are made by factories that were operating at full capacity last year, and new factories would take years to build.

E) Reductions in the value of the argon have almost always led to significant reductions in the amount of goods and services that Argonians purchase from abroad

答案为D。偶好晕,一点儿背景知识都没有,还是不用背景知识也可以解这道题? 谢谢xdjm们

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你可以使用很多以前经典的逻辑方法进行做题;

这里偶主要还是想说一下, 不需要任何背景, 偶也不关心背景知识;

1987年前后(虽然1987之前有两次行为,但跟一次没什么区别)的差异; 如果两

个时间段的其他条件都是相同或者相似的,那么就是加强, 只要存在差异,那

么就达到削弱的目的;

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其实这个题跟之前之后没有什么关系。

D说,去年所有的工厂已经满负荷运转了,而新工厂要花好几年才能建成。

实际上明年出口不可能再增长了。你货币跌倒0也没用。

所以这个是他因削弱。

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那A可不可以呢?

A)The value of the argon rose sharply last year against the world’s strongest currencies.

A是说ARGON这种货币在去年已经升值了很多。那就算今年你货币贬值一些,但是还是相对说来太贵,所以出口还是不能增加很多呀。

这样理解行吗?

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不行.原題指涉範圍僅及於當年的出口量,並不及於他年.

所以假設如(A)所述,去年已大幅升值,那對今年貨幣貶值,相對而言,更可以促使出口成長.

不能削弱原題,故錯誤.

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