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[讨论] GWD-9-24

这道题答案没有问题,是排除法得到的,总觉得选项A的推理不足以作为assumption,但没有更好的选项,不知大家是怎么想的?

For similar cars and drivers, automobile insurance for collision damage has always cost more in Greatport than in LACE w:st="on">FairmontLACE>. Police studies, however, show that cars owned by Greatport residents are, on average, slightly less likely to be involved in a collision than cars in LACE w:st="on">FairmontLACE>. Clearly, therefore, insurance companies are making a greater profit on collision-damage insurance in Greatport than in LACE w:st="on">FairmontLACE>.

Which of the following is an assumption on which the argument depends?

  1. Repairing typical collision damage does not cost more in Greatport than in LACE w:st="on">FairmontLACE>.

  2. There are no more motorists in Greatport than in LACE w:st="on">FairmontLACE>.

  3. Greatport residents who have been in a collision are more likely to report it to their insurance company than Fairmont residents are.

  4. Fairmont and Greatport are the cities with the highest collision-damage insurance rates.

  5. The insurance companies were already aware of the difference in the likelihood of collisions before the publication of the police reports.

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事后诸葛亮了

上面的朋友,虽然不知道你能否看到,还是回复吧

保险费和修理费(即当collision发生时insurance company赔付的费用)是相关的

所以才有了A这个正解,具体推理不重复了,上面的朋友已经讲了,然后看B,取非no more,也就是Greatport的坐车者比Fairmont多,但是作为论证的前提假设,发生几率是事故中坐车者/总的坐车者,发生几率小,顶多说明事故中坐车者两城差不多一致,并不能削弱原文,因为人数还要乘以保险金额,保险费本来G城比F城高,按照利润=收入-事故数*事故所赔额,并不能得出利润究竟上涨于否,我觉得上面的朋友兜到牛角尖里去了

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为什么不能选B呢。。

做的时候第一反映是A,可是仔细一想保险费和修理费有关么?所以就排了。。

而B,说开车的人要一样多。取非,如果G的人数比F多,那么即使LESS

LIKELY,保险费也可能高啊。。。

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利润=收入-事故数*事故所赔额

前提说事故数少,结论说利润就高,那么得假设事故所赔偿金额少才行。

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A充足的很呀。Insurance company's profit = insurance cost - car repairing fee。其他的推论。。。。

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