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OG12-121(极其困惑)

Codex Berinensis,a Florentine copy of an ancient Roman medical treatise, is undated but contains clues to when it was produced. Its first 80 pages are by a single copiest, but the remaining 20 pages are by three different copiests,which indicates some significant disruption .Since a letter in handwriting i  dentified as that of the fourth copiest mentions a plague that killed many people in Florence in 1148, Codex Berinensis was probably produced in that year.

Which of the follwoing, if ture, most strongly supports the hyposthesis that Codex Berinensis was produced in 1148?
A. Other than Codex Berinensis, there are no known samples of the handwriting of the first three copyists.
B. According to the account by the fourth copiest, the plague went on for 10 months.
C. A scribe woud be able to copy a page of text the size and style of Codex Berinensis in a day.
D. There was only one outbreak of plague in Florence in the 1100s.
E. The number of pages of Codex Berinensis produced by a single scribe becomes smaller with each successive change of copiest.

正确答案是D,我觉得哪个都不对,因为即使‘There was only one outbreak of plague in Florence in the 1100s’
但不能证明那个东西就是在1148年产出的,有可能第四个作者在很多年后回忆那件事再写也说不定
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相当于是排除他因,终于想通了,谢谢了

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有些类似于排除了他因...>支持
原文说第四个人在一封信中提到了1148年的一场瘟疫。如果在1100s 期间有多场瘟疫的话,那个就不能确定造成前3个抄写者死亡的那场的具体时间,进而不能确定医学论文是在1148年完成的。

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题目的意思是让我们找出一个option是有利于结论成立的

而不是100%保证有了这个条件 这个结论就是正确的

D答案 做到了一点拍他因 把其他plague的可能给排除了 使结论离真的正确又近了一步

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