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GWD3-Q31:----A?---E

 

Although most smoking-related illnesses are caused by inhaling the tar in tobacco smoke, it is addiction to nicotine that prevents most smokers from quitting.  In an effort to decrease the incidence of smoking-related illnesses, lawmakers in Sandonia plan to reduce the average quantity of nicotine per cigarette by half over the next five years.  Unfortunately, smokers who are already addicted to nicotine tend to react to such reductions by smoking correspondingly more cigarettes.

 

The information above most strongly supports which of the following predictions about the effects of implementing the Sandonian government’s plan?

 

A.     The average quantity of tar inhaled by Sandonian smokers who are currently addicted to nicotine will probably not decrease during the next five years.

 

B.       Sandonian smokers who are not already addicted to nicotine will probably also begin to smoke more cigarettes during the next five years than they had previously.

 

C.      The annual number of Sandonian smokers developing smoking-related illnesses will probably decrease during the next five years.

 

D.      The proportion of Sandonians attempting to quit smoking who succeed in that attempt will probably decrease during the next five years.

 

E.       The number of Sandonians who quit smoking during the next five years will probably exceed the number who quit during the last five years.

 


Why is A?

 


The answer is wrong? Should it be E

 


E---even though the smokers can have more cigarettes, there are more smokers who will quit smoking, which will compensate for the increasing risk of smoking.

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归纳体不能出现无关词的 退一万步说 就算你能推出今后五年戒烟的人增加 也不能得出比过去五年的人数多 因为题干中根本没提过去5年 你无法得出这样的判断的

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A吧,题干的意思是减少 nicotine 的含量,人们会多吸烟来弥补较少的 nicotine 含量,所以达不到减少吸烟的效果

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