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5/63-T9

How many really suffer as a result of labor market problems?(提出问题:多少人受到职业市场的影响)This is one of the most critical yet contentious (contentious :causing a lot of argument and disagreement between people)social policy questions. In many ways, our social statistics exaggerate the degree of hardship. Unemployment does not have the same dire consequences today as it did in the 1930’s when most of the unemployed were primary breadwinners, when income and earnings were usually much closer to the margin of subsistence(subsistence :the condition of only just having enough money or food to stay alive), and when there were no countervailing (with an equally strong but opposite effect ) social programs for those failing in the labor market. Increasing affluence, the rise of families with more than one wage earner, the growing predominance of secondary earners among the unemployed, and improved social welfare protection have unquestionably mitigated the consequences of joblessness. (社会数据夸大了困难程度,以当今与1930对比)Earnings and income data also overstate the dimensions of hardship.(收入数据也夸大了困难程度) Among the millions with hourly earnings at or below the minimum wage level, the overwhelming majority are from multiple-earner, relatively affluent families. Most of those counted by the poverty statistics are elderly or handicapped or have family responsibilities which keep them out of the labor force, so the poverty statistics are by no means an accurate indicator of labor market pathologies.提出问题:提出问题:多少人受到职业市场的影响。论据一:社会数据和收入数据夸大了困难程度,由当今与1930年对比。

Yet there are also many ways our social statistics underestimate the degree of labor-market-related hardship. The unemployment counts exclude the millions of fully employed workers whose wages are so low that their families remain in poverty. Low wages and repeated or prolonged unemployment frequently interact to undermine the capacity for self-support. Since the number experiencing joblessness at some time during the year is several times the number unemployed in any month, those who suffer as a result of forced idleness can equal or exceed average annual unemployment, even though only a minority of the jobless in any month really suffer. For every person counted in the monthly unemployment tallies, there is another working part-time because of the inability to find full-time work, or else outside the labor force but wanting a job. Finally, income transfers in our country have always focused on the elderly, disabled, and dependent, neglecting the needs of the working poor, so that the dramatic expansion of cash and in-kind transfers does not necessarily mean that those failing in the labor market are adequately protected.论据二:社会数据低估了困难。低收入者,多次失业者,零时工、劳动穷人

As a result of such contradictory evidence, it is uncertain whether those suffering seriously as a result of labor market problems number in the hundreds of thousands or the tens of millions, and, hence, whether high levels of joblessness can be tolerated or must be countered by job creation and economic stimulus. There is only one area of agreement in this debate—that the existing poverty, employment, and earnings statistics are inadequate for one their primary applications, measuring the consequences of labor market problems.结论:数据不足以反映劳动市场的困难。

9. Which of the following, if true, is the best criticism of the author’s argument concerning why poverty statistics cannot properly be used to show the effects of problems in the labor market?这题花了2分18秒,做错了,选了C,削弱题

(A) A short-term increase in the number of those in poverty can indicate a shortage of jobs because the basic number of those unable to accept employment remains approximately constant.

As a result of such contradictory evidence, it is uncertain whether those suffering seriously as a result of labor market problems number in the hundreds of thousands or the tens of millions, and, hence, whether high levels of joblessness can be tolerated or must be countered by job creation and economic stimulus.

(B) For those who are in poverty as a result of joblessness, there are social programs available that provide a minimum standard of living.

(C) Poverty statistics do not consistently agree with earnings statistics, when each is taken as a measure of hardship resulting from unemployment.

(D) The elderly and handicapped categories include many who previously were employed in the labor market.(A)

(E) Since the labor market is global in nature, poor workers in one country are competing with poor workers in another with respect to the level of wages and the existence of jobs.

作者的观点是如下吗

As a result of such contradictory evidence, it is uncertain whether those suffering seriously as a result of labor market problems number in the hundreds of thousands or the tens of millions, and, hence, whether high levels of joblessness can be tolerated or must be countered by job creation and economic stimulus.

A为何是反对作者的观点呢 真的是不明白

谢谢

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这道题我也困惑了很长时间,今天终于有点眉目了,大家继续讨论!

全文论证关系如下

论据一:社会数据和收入数据夸大了困难程度,由当今与1930年对比。

论据二:社会数据低估了困难。

As a result of such contradictory evidence(基于上述两个evidence,都是统计不准确),得出中间结论:没法确定those suffering seriously as a result of labor market problems的人数.>>> 最终结论:existing poverty statistics are inadequate.

对于本题的削弱方法: 1, 对2个论据削弱,指出survey1,没有夸大, survey2,没有的低估.

2,对于中间结论削弱,指出可以确定这些人的数量.

A,说了可以确定这些人数

其他选项现在看,发现是无关选项,

大家继续讨论

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