pansy

提纲：
1.        Other reason that might have caused the increase
2.        Stores specializing in one service might be able to offer things at a lower price, thus the megamart gained no advantage.

1.        First of all, the argument suffers from the fallacy of “ after this, therefore because of this”
2.        Granting that the increase in total sales was due to the addition of the pharmacy section, this fact alone is insufficient to support the claim that adding more departments will increase sales even further.

1.        总体销售额增加20%利润不一定也会相应增加
2.        销售额的增加不一定是由于增加了这个部门造成的
3.        以后是否还会有如此效果不一定。因为可能已经有企业提供更专业更优质的商品和服务。

1.        没有建立因果。sequence不能证明因果。不知道收入来自哪个section. 很可能是有其他的原因：很可能是pharmacy没有利润。利润来自其他的部分。比如食品等，质量提高，或者经济情况好，人们有更多的demand。
2.        销售额增加不一定是profit增加。
3.        错误类比：就算加入了pharmacy引起了收入提高，也不能说增加的clothing和其他也会引起收入。很可能人们不是因为convenience，而是对medicine的需要。很可能其他的，人们更愿意到special shops。

wide range of services VS   increase profits over the couple of years                                                              1.pharmacy section ≠ 20% total sales increased
2.only from the fact that 20% sales increased ≠ a commen realtionship of all customers
3.pharmacy section ≠ clothing dept./automotive supplies/repairshop
4.pharmacy secion + wide range of services costs high ≠ benefits and profits increase
5.the Pharmacy section cannot be considered as a trend of the future cusomers, it is possible that in subsequent years, people are more concerned with the special services of grocery store.

pansy

9. 桐聆; wy007 daibing126 3次
感谢kkjj2222提供原题
The following is part of a business plan created by the management of the Megamart grocery store.
“Our total sales have increased this year by 20 percent since we added a pharmacy section to our grocery store. Clearly, the customer’s main concern is the convenience afforded by one-stop shopping. The surest way to increase our profits over the next couple of years, therefore, is to add a clothing department along with an automotive supplies and repair shop. We should also plan to continue adding new departments and services, such as a restaurant and a garden shop, in subsequent years. Being the only store in the area that offers such a range of services will give us a competitive advantage over other local stores.” (pool第44题)

pansy

8. IvyDC; JIAXIN1208 2次
V1在家工作不好，不如在office好.
V2 说在家工作或者自己创业没有在stable的office来的好，因为家里有很多其它影响因素，另外自制力差，而且opportunity少。
(我怎么觉得这题比较象AI？有没有同学对原题有印象呢？--SindyWawa)

pansy

7. volcanobird; kittymiao3 2次
Greentree Grocers has been experiencing high sales volume but decreasing profit margin. Its customers are wealthy people looking for gourmet food and luxury shopping experience, so it must cut costs without hurting the customers' shopping experience. So it plans to layoff 10 employees per store and eliminate expensive displays and free samples. In addition, it will partner with XX Cafe to have a coffee shop in each store. This is supported by a recent survey that the Grocers and the Cafe attract similar types of customers. The conclusion is that Greentree Grocers will experience high sales volume as well as high profit margin.

pansy

提纲：
1.        从一个医院的情况就推广到整个太草率
2.        治愈率低可能是因为接受的患者得的病都比较罕见等原因造成的
3.        工资低，总体利润低，时间分配给教学都不能一定说明质量差。可能其他福利好，接受的病人少，教学研究有助于进步

1.        首先，医生的人数与质量之间没有必然的因果原因。profit跟质量也无关系。很可能treating price is significantly lower。
2.        成功率不能说明问题。缺乏其他的证据，忽略了他因：比如因为质量高，所以很多serious illness的，而送往其他医院的一般都是common cases.
3.        时间不能代表问题。因为那些医生所做的研究很可能帮助他们进行治疗。

pansy

6. nininana; gmatethan; mikeandy 3次
The following appeared in an article in the health section of a newspaper.
“There is a common misconception that university hospitals are better than community or private hospitals. This notion is unfounded, however: the university hospitals in our region employ 15 percent fewer doctors, have a 20 percent lower success rate in treating patients, make far less overall profit, and pay their medical staff considerably less than do private hospitals. Furthermore, many doctors at university hospitals typically divide their time among teaching, conducting research, and treating patients. From this it seems clear that the quality of care at university hospitals is lower than that at other kinds of hospitals.” (pool第43题)

pansy

4. 已合并至3。

5. aioloseros
The argument was about a paragraph from a restaurant business newsletter about small franchise restaurants.
A small restaurant owner, George, opened a pita restaurant in a college town Sallon. His restaurant has been quite successful for the last 2 years. So he decided to open another 3 restaurants in nearby cities and towns. He also plans to promote his 3 employees who have been trained under him to be the managers of the new restaurants. He expects his profits will trip after all restaurants are opened.

pansy

提纲：
1.        人流量是否代表利润？
2.        CARLO的停滞是否有其他原因
3.        错误类比。——服装与音像。

1.        The foot trafic into the store and the increase of owners' personal wealth can not indicate the business growth of the Disc Depot.
2.        The author commits a fallacy of all things are equal.
3.        The author commits a fallacy of false analogy.
4.        Other factors other than the radio advertisement that may contribute to the business growth of Disc depot should be considered and ruled out. Likewise, it is possible that there are some other reasons can explain the stagnant profit of carlo's clothing.

pansy

3. Nicewill; 哈哈柚; ssdd; 遗失的紫水晶; fanxinchao; silence05 6次
The following appeared in a memorandum from the owner of Carlo’s Clothing to the staff.
“Since Disc Depot, the music store on the next block, began a new radio advertising campaign last year, its business has grown dramatically, as evidenced by the large increase in foot traffic into the store. While the Disc Depot’s owners have apparently become wealthy enough to retire, profits at Carlo’s Clothing have remained stagnant for the past three years. In order to boost our sales and profits, we should therefore switch from newspaper advertising to frequent radio advertisements like those for Disc Depot.” (pool第124题)

pansy

提纲：
1. 小范围推大范围。
2. 忽略他因，是否只有一种因素导致价格上升——不适合生长。。。还有，比如环境保护，加工价格上升，人力成本上升，或者单纯的物价上涨。。。monetary inflation, increased distribution and labor costs, or alterations in supply and demand conditions

1. 柠檬缺乏代表性，或者说，柠檬有其特殊性，譬如柠檬都是进口的，比较贵；
2. 天气好不一定代表物价要低，因为种植柑橘的农民已经动用了可用的资源了，产量无法再多了；
3. 是否物价高就是农民肆意抬高的缘故，可能是dealers在其中的作用；
4. 政府是否要介入，虽然价格变贵了，但是targeted customers没有变化，对整个国民经济影响不大