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GWD-3-Q32:
Newspaper editorial:
In an attempt to reduce the crime rate, the governor is getting tough on criminals and making prison conditions harsher. Part of this effort has been to deny inmates(在监狱服刑的人) the access they formerly had to college-level courses. However, this action is clearly counter to the governor’s ultimate goal, since after being released from prison, inmates who had taken such courses committed far fewer crimes overall than other inmates.
政府官员的目标:减少犯罪
做法:使服刑期间可以上大学的犯人不能上大学
评价:上过大学的人出狱后本来就更少犯罪。
隐含假设:上大学导致犯罪减少。
Which of the following is an assumption on which the argument depends?
A. Not being able to take college-level courses while in prison is unlikely to deter anyone from a crime that he or she might otherwise have committed.
B. Former inmates are no more likely to commit crimes than are members of the general population.
C. The group of inmates who chose to take college-level courses were not already less likely than other inmates to commit crimes after being released. 不是其他原因或可能导致该结果
D. Taking high school level courses in prison has less effect on an inmate’s subsequent behavior than taking college-level courses does.
E. The governor’s ultimate goal actually is to gain popularity by convincing people that something effective is being done about crime.[C]
Lawyer
1。A取非是:该措施(不让读大学课程)有可能有效。这不但不对结论否定作用,还起支持作用,所以不可能是假设
2。C排除他因,排除是允许去读大学课程的人本来就好导致释放后犯罪少的它因。从而肯定是政府该政策起作用的原因。
这个题目怎么可能是A呢,当然是C啊。很典型的排除他因啊。结论是:读书的人犯罪率相对低,暗含的意思是,是读书(而不是其他)使得他们出来后犯罪率相对较低。要支持这个结论,假设就是:只有读书这一个原因影响犯罪率,没有其他原因,C不正好符合吗。C说的是选择读书的人并不是本身就比别人犯罪率低,是读书才使他们与别人区别开来啊。
我记得这种题目应该是ETS比较喜欢出的类型,只是大多见于削弱:比如说一个试验结果是,参加了某某某培训的孩子比别的孩子聪明表现好,结论是,这种类型的培训能够提高孩子的智力,改善他们的表现。要求削弱,答案就是:这群参加试验的孩子本身就比别人聪明。这道题目不是一样嘛,如果这些犯人本身就比别的犯人犯罪率低,那读书对他们出去后的犯罪率的影响就不可评估了啊。
This is an interesting question. To effectively solve CR, one must to analyze an argument's line of reasoning(LoR). Actually there are two arguments here, that of the governor’s and that of the passage author’s.
LoR of the governor: deny college course --> make prison harsher --> reduce crime rate. LoR of the author: inmates who take courses will commit fewer crimes after release --> denying them course will lead to more crimes by them after release --> governor's action won't reduce crime rate.
Since the question ask for assumption of the author’s argument, only the author’s LoR is relevant.
Now let's look at A, which says "Not being able to ... is unlikely to deter anyone from a crime ..." (不能读书不会deter任何人) You probably can already tell that this is not relevant to the author's LoR (although it's relevant to governor's LoR). So, choice A is not relevant. You don’t even needs to try deny test here.
Now let’s look at C. C says "...inmates who chose to take courses were not already less likely ... to commit crimes after being released." Deny C, we get "...inmates who chose to take college-level courses were already less likely... to commit crimes after being released." In other words, denying them course will not lead to more crimes by them after release. This directly contradicts the author’s LoR and cause the argument to fall apart. So, C is a necessary assumption of the author. |
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