GWD-23-Q10

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When trying to identify new technologies that promise to transform the marketplace, market researchers survey the managers of those companies that are developing new technologies. Such managers have an enormous stake in succeeding, so they invariably overstate the potential of their new technologies. Surprisingly, however, market researchers typically do not survey a new technology’s potential buyers, even though it is the buyers-not the producers-who will ultimately determine a technology’s commercial success.
Which of the following, if true, best accounts for the typical survey practices among market researchers?

A.    If a new technology succeeds, the commercial benefits accrue largely to the producers, not to the buyers, of that technology.
B.    People who promote the virtues of a new technology typically fail to consider that the old technology that is currently in use continues to be improved, often substantially.
C.    Investors are unlikely to invest substantial amounts of capital in a company whose own managers are skeptical about the commercial prospects of a new technology they are developing.
D.    The potential buyers for not-yet-available technologies can seldom be reliably identified.
E.    The developers of a new technology are generally no better positioned than its potential buyers to gauge how rapidly the new technology can be efficiently mass-produced.

答案是D，看不懂为什么，求解释。谢谢。

NicoleYu

原文提出的问题是：对于新的技术，为什么市场研究人员只调查生产公司的管理者（这些人常常会夸大新产品的市场潜力）而不调查真正决定新产品商业成败的潜在消费者。然后让我们从选项中找出解释。

A：新技术成功的获利者是生产者而非消费者，是无关选项。
B：宣传新产品优势的人忽略了旧产品还可以不断被改进，是无关项。
C：投资者不会向那些管理者自己都对新产品心存怀疑的公司投入大量资金，也是无关选项。
D：尚未应用的新产品的潜在消费者很难找到，该选项解释了为什么不对新产品的消费者进行调查（因为找不到这部分人）
E：新技术的研发人员不及其潜在购买者能估测新技术能有效大批量生产的速度，也是无关的。