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OG12-72(CR)

72. Community activist: If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping district healthy, it should prevent the
opening of a huge SaveAll discount department store on the outskirts of Morganville. Records from other small
towns show that whenever SaveAll has opened a store outside the central shopping district of a small town,
within fi ve years the town has experienced the bankruptcies of more than a quarter of the stores in the shopping
district.
The answer to which of the following would be most useful for evaluating the community activist’s reasoning?
(A) Have community activists in other towns successfully campaigned against the opening of a SaveAll store
on the outskirts of their towns?
(B) Do a large percentage of the residents of Morganville currently do almost all of their shopping at stores in
Morganville?
(C) In towns with healthy central shopping districts, what proportion of the stores in those districts suffer
bankruptcy during a typical fi ve-year period?
(D) What proportion of the employees at the SaveAll store on the outskirts of Morganville will be drawn from
Morganville?
(E) Do newly opened SaveAll stores ever lose money during their fi rst fi ve years of operation?

答案是C,我觉得B也对,是不是C更好,请大家指教。。
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B完全不对. 对B提出的问题,不管答案是YES还是NO都对题干研究的是否去OVERRULE一家SaveAll没意义. 想一下, 多开一家店,起码不会使这个比率减少吧? 在这个角度对该区经济的health有什么影响呢?
C是对的.如果平均每五年有四分之一店铺倒闭在经济学角度看是一个正常现象(有新开的店补充达到平衡),就推翻了题干所暗示的, 店铺倒闭是由SaveAll造成的这个论据.
Smile for what happened

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我认为B是不对的
现在有多少比例的人在M买东西是无关选项
这道题问的是引入SA对商店破产率有没有影响

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B选项,如果这个M town的人基本都在中心的store买东西,而不是在其他地方买东西,如果引入S,可能这些人被吸引到outside of town,这样会导致中心街区的店破产,也有部分的道理吧。。

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B选项是Do a large percentage of the residents of Morganville currently do almost all of their shopping 【at stores in Morganville】?
注意一下部分:
central shopping district
SaveAll has opened a store outside the central shopping district
中心区和SA都在M内!

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谢谢!

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B无关吧。。argument是  要维持healthy 就要阻止S.A store 。知道买不买东西和这个argument是没关系的。

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原文说开一个新店不好,因为会使别的沿街的店在5年内倒闭...仅此而已
   b 你b说这地方的居民是否在这里买大多数的生活用品,这原文提到了么?
      c c给您模拟了一个和这个地方1模1样的环境下的例子,你能不选他吗

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一点愚见

C的理由是, 题目中类比的一个隐含前提是 两个地区的商店类型一致

如果两个地区的商店类型完全不一致, 开SaveAll的后果就会不一致

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B:即便大家目前都在M购物,SA来了,大家还是可能都换到那边购物。所以没办法很好evaluate the reasoning。
C:最佳方法

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