PREP 114！

zhaoyiqing

Outbreaks of Rift Valley fever occur irregularly in East Africa, several years apart.
When outbreaks do occur, they kill thousands of cattle.
A livestock vaccine against the disease exists but is rarely used.
It is too expensive for farmers to use routinely, and since it is not effective until a month after vaccination, administering it after an outbreak begins helps very little.
Nevertheless, experts predict that use of the vaccine will increase significantly within the next few years.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest justification for the experts’ prediction?

A. Rift Valley fever is spread by mosquitoes, but each outbreak is so widespread that it is impractical to control it by using insecticides.

B. When an outbreak of Rift Valley fever occurs, unaffected countries often refuse to import livestock from the countries affected by the outbreak.

牛肉的需求降低

C. It would take less than a month for producers of the vaccine to adjust their production operations to cope with a large increase in demand.

D. Many cattle farmers in East Africa are nomadic or live in remote villages, and such farmers, who have little access to modern veterinary medicine, are particularly hard hit by outbreaks of Rift Valley fever.

E. Recently published research has shown that certain identifiable climatic conditions are almost invariably followed, within two to five months, by an outbreak of Rift Valley fever.

B
E

为什么呢？难道看谁的影响更大么？

我觉得E无关啊，B切题。

danni423

可是E没有对1有支持啊，。。

detectiveyangs

若要使将来这种疫苗的使用大规模增长，必须满足两个条件：1，牧民有强烈的使用这种疫苗的意愿，即使它很贵；2，由于1个月后疫苗才生效，牛要保证在这1个月内不被感染，否则疫苗就白打了。

B符合第1条，但没有任何迹象支持第2条

E对于1、2条都有支持。

dongstar

在我看来，B选项应该是无关选项

因为结论是experts predict that use of the vaccine will increase significantly within the next few year 专家预测疫苗的使用会大大增加

B选项说的是其他国家会拒绝进口受感染的牛肉，和疫苗的使用无关

E选项说天气的变化预示了fever的爆发。也就是说疫苗的使用会增加（为了防治fever）