linly

11．
题库:         频率：1

原始狗：
floret0306
7.30
AWA 就是说BC这个公司，是搞mining tech的，然后这个行业不好，profits and price都decline，所以转向了 renewable energy tech，这样就能扭转profits和price的decline，可能还有其他因素不过现在脑子坏掉鸟，想不起了……；
待补充

linly

12．
题库: 72   AWA224-70        频率：3   Warning

原始狗：
spups
7.30
感谢spups 给出原文
xiximm54
8.04
argument:8月到10月间，XX城市卖衣服说他们利润少啦，卖家庭用品的说他们的利润增加啦，然后呢作者就说呀，肯定是顾客都喜欢买家庭用品啦，不喜欢买衣服啦，所以呢作者就建议啊减少卖衣服商店的规模，增加卖家庭用品商店的规模。
lingx413
8.04
AA, 是说Local clothing store的 销量减少，但是store that selling products for homes 增加。所以the department store 应该相应的减少买衣服的部门。增加卖家庭用品的。我没怎么练过AA， 不知道是不是原题。
The following appeared as part of a recommendation from the business manager of a department store.
“Local clothing stores reported that their profits decreased, on average, for the three-month period between August 1 and October 31. Stores that sell products for the home reported that, on average, their profits increased during this same period. Clearly, consumers are choosing to buy products for their homes instead of clothing. To take advantage of this trend, we should reduce the size of our clothing departments and enlarge our home furnishings and household products departments.”
Discuss how well reasoned... etc.
专卖店的商务经理的备忘录：
本地服装店报告说从8月1号到10月31号的3个月里他们的平均利润下降。销售家庭用品的商店却报告同期的平均利润上升。很明显，顾客正选择为他们的家里购买用品而不是买衣物。为了利用这个趋势，我们应该缩减我们的服装部规模而扩大家庭装饰和家务用品部
提纲：
1.        A period of three month is too short to draw a general conclusion of the overall trend.
2.        The past three months' trend does not guarantee the same in the future.
3.        Whether the reports from the local clothing stores and stores that sell products for the home are reliable or not are still open to doubt, thus making the author's suggestion groundless.

1，        降低和上升，是否存在必然的关系。忽略他因。
2，        三个月的时间是否能说明一种趋势？

linly

13．
题库: 92    AWA224-89        频率：1

原始狗：
flyb
7.30
AA是说那个水果价格七年前是5cents ,现在是30cents,所以水果涨价了，引发通胀了。要避免通胀，需要制定严格的定价规则。
The following is taken from an editorial in a local newspaper.
“Over the past decade, the price per pound of citrus fruit has increased substantially. Eleven years ago, Megamart charged 5 cents apiece for lemons, but today it commonly charges over 30 cents apiece. In only one of these last eleven years was the weather unfavorable for growing citrus crops. Evidently, then, citrus growers have been responsible for the excessive increase in the price of citrus fruit, and strict pricing regulations are needed to prevent them from continuing to inflate prices.”
Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc.
当地报纸的社论：        
过去的10年里，桔类水果的价格实际上上升了。11年前，Megamart每个柠檬要价5分，现在一般要价为30分一个。过去11年只有一年不适合桔类水果生长。显然，柑桔种植者应该对桔类水果价格过度上涨负责。为防止他们继续哄抬价格规范价格规定很有必要。
提纲：
1. 小范围推大范围。
2. 忽略他因，是否只有一种因素导致价格上升——不适合生长。。。还有，比如环境保护，加工价格上升，人力成本上升，或者单纯的物价上涨。。。monetary inflation, increased distribution and labor costs, or alterations in supply and demand conditions

1.柠檬缺乏代表性，或者说，柠檬有其特殊性，譬如柠檬都是进口的，比较贵；
2.天气好不一定代表物价要低，因为种植柑橘的农民已经动用了可用的资源了，产量无法再多了；
3.是否物价高就是农民肆意抬高的缘故，可能是dealers在其中的作用；
4.政府是否要介入，虽然价格变贵了，但是targeted customers没有变化，对整个国民经济影响不大

linly

14．
题库:         频率：2

原始狗：
wtbzeus
7.30
作文一篇是卖汽车的，说如果给豪华车做广告全年销量包括便宜车都会增加，如果给便宜车做广告销量不会有太多增长，结论给高级车做广告吸引了很多顾客前来观赏同时也增加了其他车的销量
sunflower82
8.03
一个automobile的经销商发现：6月份，当他们把那些luxury的line（就是比较昂贵，比较高档的车）放在展区最重要的位置时，不管是高档车还是价格一般的车inexpensive cars的销售额都提高了。2月分，他们把那些inexpensive 的车放在展区最重要的位置时，销售量就恒一般，比较低。所以他建议，为了提高销售额，应该把那些luxury的line（就是比较昂贵，比较高档的车）放在展区最重要的位置
待补充

linly

15．
题库: 97    AWA224-94        频率：1

原始狗：
renee12345
7.30
AA：“A year ago Apex Manufacturing bought its managers computers for their homes and paid for telephone connections so that the managers could access Apex computers and data files from home after normal business hours. Since last year, productivity at Apex has increased by 15 percent. Other companies can learn from the success
The following appeared as part of an article in a computer magazine.
“A year ago Apex Manufacturing bought its managers computers for their homes and paid for telephone connections so that they could access Apex computers and data files from home after normal business hours. Since last year, productivity at Apex has increased by 15 percent. Other companies can learn from the success at Apex: given home computers and access to company resources, employees will work additional hours at home and thereby increase company profits.”
Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc.
电脑杂志的文章：
一年前Apex制造公司给它的经理们在家买了电脑，并支付电话费，这样他们就可以在工作时间以外从家里连接到Apex的电脑和数据文件。从去年开始，Apex的生产能力增长了15%。其他公司可以借鉴Apex的成功，提供家用电脑和到公司资源的链接，雇员会在家里加班并提高公司利润。
1、 忽略他因，Apex的生产能力提高可能还有其他原因，比如说设备的改进、一些新政策带来效益等
2、错误类比，就算apex是因为上述原因提高生产力，它的成功模式也不一定适合其他公司
3、错误假设，  错误的假设了雇员在家一定会加班

linly

16．
题库: 62   AWA224-61        频率：1

原始狗：
overmatch
7.30
一道是说一种叫muscle monthly的杂志经常卖脱销，上面有一种健身机的图片。所以有人建议在本地的健身中心中装上这种机器，来maximize本地居民的fitness levels。
The following appeared in the letters-to-the-editor section of a local newspaper.
“Muscle Monthly, a fitness magazine that regularly features pictures of bodybuilders using state-of-the-art exercise machines, frequently sells out, according to the owner of Skyview Newsstand. To help maximize fitness levels in our town’s residents, we should, therefore, equip our new community fitness center with such machines.”
Discuss how well reasoned... etc.

本地报纸上给编者的信板块：
一份叫Muscle Monthly的健康杂志规律性地刊登使用最好的训练器械的健美运动员的照片。据skyview报摊的摊主说它经常卖完。为了提高我镇居民的健康水平，我们应该给我们的新健身中心装备这样的器械。
提纲：
1.        The bodybuilders may just pretend to be using the state-of-the-art exercise machines while, in fact, their excellent body conditions are due to the use of other types of equipment. And, they just do so for the advertisement purpose.
2.        The circulation is just one of the indicators of the popularity of the magazine. What is more, I can find no direct relationship between the popularity of the magazine and the author's suggestion that we should equip the community with the state-of-the-art excercise machine.
3.        The machines for body building will not necessarily have the same effect on fitness.

1，        如果杂志卖光得快不一定是因为这个器材好，很可能是价钱便宜，和其他的内容。
2，        那些人很可能并不真正用这些机器，而只是摆出造型。
3，        如果是为了body-building的机器很可能不能fitness。比如，cardiovascular fitness。

linly

17．
题库: 新题库B4        频率：2

原始狗：
g20040636
7.31
非啼哭
8年前 profits increase 因为employees 能给公司带来revenue大于salaries
2年前 profits decrease 认为是 newer employees不能给公司带来足够的revenue
总体上profits的下降是因为 human resouce deparment 的failure
ericafdl
7.29
AA：大体是说一个电子公司的CEO批评HR，说现在HR招的职员都不如6年以前了，那时候的职员都很有motivation，工作积极，为公司创造了良好的效益，那时候他们为公司创造的效益远远超出公司支付的工资。但在最近的2-3年里，职员素质下降了，所以公司利润的下降完全是由于HR没招对人。
The following appeared in a memorandum from the CEO of a consumer electronics manufacturing firm to the head of the company's human resources department, who is responsible for hiring new employees:
    “Eight years ago, our firm’s profits were increasing with each new employee we added. We discovered that each employee had the skills and motivation to generate more revenue for the firm than his or her salary cost us. However, for the past two years, our profit margin has been falling, even though we have continued to add employees. Thus, our newer employees are not generating enough revenue to justify their salaries. We must not be hiring new employees with the same level of skills and motivation as those we used to attract. Clearly, then, failures in the human resources department account for our falling profits.”
        Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc
1、忽略他因， 公司利润下降很可能因为其他原因，比如说公司最近的产品销量不好，市场低迷等
2、两年前的情况不能预测未来
3、就算是新招员工的问题，也不能说是HR DEPARTMENT 的责任，有可能在面试的时候他们表现都很好，而工作之后开始不努力工作。

linly

18．
题库: 6   AWA224-6        频率：1

原始狗：
daisy88117
7.31
AA Helios’s unemployment rate is lower than in other regions inrecent recession and wanna attract companies focus on research and newtechnology.大致情况是这样 然后说公司在找新地点和方向时可以考虑Helios.
The following appeared as part of an article in a magazine devoted to regional life.
“Corporations should look to the city of Helios when seeking new business opportunities or a new location. Even in the recent recession, Helios’s unemployment rate was lower than the regional average. It is the industrial center of the region, and historically it has provided more than its share of the region’s manufacturing jobs. In addition, Helios is attempting to expand its economic base by attracting companies that focus on research and development of innovative technologies.”
Discuss how well reasoned... etc.
一份面向地方生活的杂志上的一篇文章：
企业在寻找新的商机或位置时应该去Helios城。甚至在最近的衰退中，Helios的失业率也比地区平均水平低，它是地区的工业中心，历史上它提供的比它在地区制造业工作中分享的份额中更多。而且，Helios正试图通过吸引研究和发展革新技术的公司来扩张它的经济基础。
提纲：
1.        作者认为应该到该地区建厂理由是这里的失业率很高。但是却没有给出因果关系。从常理来看这是没有道理的因为失业率高的地方可能更难雇佣到雇员从而使成本增加。
2.        作者认为该地区会鼓励研发，所以应该到该地区投资。但事实上就象作者说的那样该地区是制造业中心怎么可能有很多对技术和科研很熟练的人员。

1.        因为H地区industrial and manufacturing比较attractive，所以那里的工人很可能只适合做这类的，如果缺乏能够做innovative technologies and research的工人labor pool，那么很可能导致失败。
2.        H的低失业率更可能成为坏处。因为比如有less available work force。企业必须提高wage才能吸引他们。提高了COST。
3.        错误的假设过去的成功能够代表未来。比方说已经饱和的资源、过分的竞争、以及可能出现的错误政策，都可能导致H地区的经济不再发达。

linly

19．
题库: 43   AWA224-43        频率：1

原始狗：
zhaoyuangks
7.31
AA：University hospitals' quality of care is worse than private or community hospitals. Two reasons: first is that in the author's region, the university hospitals have 15% fewer doctors, 20% less success on caring of patients than private hospitals--somewhat statistics; Second reason is the author believes that the university hospitals doctors divide their time into conducting researchs, teaching students and taking care of patients.
都是很明显的逻辑漏洞。
The following appeared in an article in the health section of a newspaper.
“There is a common misconception that university hospitals are better than community or private hospitals. This notion is unfounded, however: the university hospitals in our region employ 15 percent fewer doctors, have a 20 percent lower success rate in treating patients, make far less overall profit, and pay their medical staff considerably less than do private hospitals. Furthermore, many doctors at university hospitals typically divide their time among teaching, conducting research, and treating patients. From this it seems clear that the quality of care at university hospitals is lower than that at other kinds of hospitals.”
Discuss how well reasoned... etc.
报纸的健康板块上的文章：
有一种普遍的错误观念认为大学医院比社区或私人医院更好。这个想法是无根据的，我们地区的大学医院较之私人医院，少雇15%的医生，对患者的治愈率要低20%，总体利润要小得多，给一户员工的待遇比私人医院低很多。而且，很多大学医院的医生将他们的时间分为教学，直到研究和看病几部分。从此可明显看出大学医院的服务质量比其他医院低。
提纲：
1，        从一个医院的情况就推广到整个太草率
2，        治愈率低可能是因为接受的患者得的病都比较罕见等原因造成的
3，        工资低，总体利润低，时间分配给教学都不能一定说明质量差。可能其他福利好，接受的病人少，教学研究有助于进步

1.        首先，医生的人数与质量之间没有必然的因果原因。profit跟质量也无关系。很可能treating price is significantly lower。
2.        成功率不能说明问题。缺乏其他的证据，忽略了他因：比如因为质量高，所以很多serious illness的，而送往其他医院的一般都是common cases.
3.        时间不能代表问题。因为那些医生所做的研究很可能帮助他们进行治疗。

linly

20．
题库: 112   AWA224-106        频率：2

原始狗：
7.30
pudding1990
AA:一个研究表明锻炼可以减少人们进医院的次数，所以一个地方政府决定建一个well-equipped gym，这样的话就可以减少对employees 的医疗保险的费用，帮助政府achieve a balanced budget.
lemoncat1103
8.04
AA：一个研究说exercise regularly比那些don't exercise的少生病，所以一个公司应该为他的雇员建一个gym，这样可以减少雇员健康保险的开销，从而achieve a balance town budget。
The following appeared in a memo to the Saluda town council from the town’s business manager.
“Research indicates that those who exercise regularly are hospitalized less than half as often as those who don’t exercise. By providing a well-equipped gym for Saluda’s municipal employees, we should be able to reduce the cost of our group health insurance coverage by approximately 50% and thereby achieve a balanced town budget.”
Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc.
Saluda镇的商业管理者给镇议会的备忘录：
研究显示有规律地锻炼的人生病的概率比不运动的人要小一半。通过给Saluda的市政雇员提供一个设备良好的体育馆，我们应该可以大约减少50％的健康保险支出并得到平衡的镇预算。
提纲：
1.        There is no causal relationship between the development of the employees' health and the provision of a well-equipped gym.
2.        Therefore, the reduction of the cost of group health insurance coverage expected by the author is not guaranteed.
3.        Even if the provision of the gym can cause a reduction of the cost, no one can rely on it to achieve a balanced town budget since the health incidents occur very randomly.