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qiufeng1990:
Let me have to try to explain it. Hope it helps.
The conclusion is ”human failure was not responsible for the fatal air crash”
The line of reasoning implied “出事后,制订了严格的措施is the only factor” accounts for “事故报告率增高了50%”
To make the reasoning valid, the argument at least have to make an assumption (C) 实际没有那末多.
Without (C), suppose实际mechanical problems > 50%, say 60%, then at least some other factors must account for the additional 10%. If so, the reasoning “措施is the only factor” accounts for “事故报告率增高” is flawed, thus the conclusion ”human failure was not responsible for the fatal air crash” is weakened . |
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