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请教NN一道题目

A meteor stream is composed of dust particles that have been ejected from a parent comet at a variety of velocities. These particles follow the same orbit as the parent comet, but due to their differeing velocities they slowly gain on or fall behind the disintegrating comet until a shroud of dust surrounds the entire cometary orbit.
Astronomers have hypothesized that a meteor stream should broaden with time as the dust particles’ individual orbits are perturbed by planetary gravitational fields. A recent computer-modeling experimetn tested this hypothesis by tracking the influence of planetary gravitation over a projected 5,000-year period on the positions of a group of hypothetical dust particles. In the model, the particles were randomly distributed throughout a computer simulation of the orbit of an actual meteor stream, the Geminid. The researcher found, as expected,
that the computer-model stream broadened with time. Coventional theories, however, predicted that the distribution of particles would be increaingly dense toward the center of a meteor stream. Surpringly, the computer-model meteor stream gradually came to resemble a thick-walled, hollow pipe.
Whenever the Earth passes through a meteor stream, a meteor shower occurs. Moving at a little over 1,500,000 miles per day around its orbit, the Earth would take, on average, just over a day to cross the hollow, computer-model Geminid stream if the stream were 5,000 years old. Two brief periods of peak meteor activity during the shower would be observed, one as the Earth entered the thick-walled “pipe” and one as it exited.
There is no reason why the Earth should always pass through the stream’s exact center, so the time interval between the two bursts of activity would vary from one year to the next.
Has the predicted twin-peaked activity been observed for the actual yearly GEminid meteor shower? The Geminid data between 1970 and 1979 show just such a bifurcation, a secondary burst of meteor activity being clearly visible at an average of 19 hourse (1,200,000 miles) after the first burst. The time intervals between the bursts suggest the actual Geminid stream is about 3,000 years old.

这篇文章中,

83. It can be inferred from the passage that which of the following would most probably be observed during the Earth’s passage through a meteor stream if the conventional theories mentioned in line 18 were
(A)    Meteor activity would gradually increase to a single, intense peak, and then gradually decline.
(B)    Meteor activity would be steady throughout the period of the meteor shower.
(C)    Meteor activity would rise to a peak at the beginning and at the end of the meteor shower.
(D)    Random bursts of very high meteor activity would be interspersed with periods of very little activity.
(E)    In years in which the Earth passed through only the outer areas of a meteor stream, meteor activity would be absent.

正确答案选A,可是我觉得按照正确答案解释的逻辑的话,E 更合理啊。

传统理论预测:particles 随着时间的推移会更集中于metero stream center.---文中的be increasingly dence toward the center......
新的电脑模型:the stream broaden with time.........

文章下来说的是不管什么情况下,地球经过metero stream 都会有 metero shower, 然后,讲的是经过metero shower 之后会有两次peak 出现,符合电脑理论的预期。因此,我觉得这整个部分也是对传统理论的否定,即:在传统理论下有可能不会有metero shower,或者在传统理论下,不会有两次peak 出现。

按照取非的逻辑,文章只讲了在电脑模拟情况下,会有两次peak 出现,而传统理论是电脑模型的取非,因此,应该是小于两次,即一次,或零次。为啥A对,E不对呢??

求解释
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Coventional theories, however, predicted that the distribution of particles

would be increaingly dense toward the center of a meteor stream。
这是传统理论的观点,只是说越往中间越密集,并没有说不在中间就没有啊,而E选项说

不通过center通过outer就没有流星,文章中并没有提及,比如说一个放射状的物体,中

间密集越往外围走越稀疏,但并不代表外围没有。同理,在center的时候,流星是密集的,

而在外围可能也有流星,但只是没那么多罢了,所以地球经过外围的时候依然可能碰到

流星雨,只是可能数量少很多。

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再说那个取非得问题,文章哪里说了传统是电脑模型的取非,只是说他们有不同罢了,
难道一个东西和另一个有不同就要完全否定说他们完全不一样么?
以上本人意见,仅供楼主参考。

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