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模考里的一道题

CR:

People tend to judge how likely it is that an event will occur by observing how often and how prominently it comes to their attention over the past few years, not only have more lotteries been established but there have also been more advertisements featuring the winners of such lotteries

If the statement above are true, which of the following conclusions can be properly drawn?

A those who buy lottery tickets tend to notice advertisements for lotteries more than those who do not buy tickets

B lottery ticket buyers may overestimate their chances of winning

C. advertisements are the most common source from which people learn about lotteries

这题我看着没有头绪,答案是B

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题干的意思是说:人们通过过去几年中事情发生的频率和重要性来判断这件事再次发生的可能性,而在搏彩业,彩票的数量和中彩的人数被过多的报道了

所以,选项为:消费者对自己会高估自己中彩的概率

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