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feifei-341,题--看不懂!

新东方蓝批书341
When people predict that a certain result will not take place unless a certain action is taken,they believe that they have learned that the prediction is corret when the action is taken and the result occurs.On reflection,however,it often becomes clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.
Which of the following,if true,best supports the claims above?
(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of the action.
(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires knowing about other actions that have been successful in similar past situations.
(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the result of using that strategy through several trials.
(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the context of that prediction.
看整个题目意思不是很明白 admits of more than one interpretation什么意思,这个结论.而答案选d更让我如坠云霄啊
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我对题目的理解:
人们如何做出预测呢? 如果A只在B会发生的前提下发生,那么一旦发生了B后,那么人们就会得出A不久就会发生的结论. 但是实际情况确实这样:导致A发生的原因并非只有B一个.
D 的解释: 区分以下三种情况是不可能做到的:1, 正确预测;2, 从错误预测中得到的有效行动,(我的理解就是歪打正着), 3, 无效行动
.
D应该是对的

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感谢!!!!!!!

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