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[求助]请大家帮我分析一下这道题,实在想不明白

Exposure to certain chemicals commonly used in elementary schools as cleaners or pesticides causes allergic reactions in some children.  Elementary school nurses in Renston report that the proportion of schoolchildren sent to them for treatment of allergic reactions to those chemicals has increased significantly over the past ten years.  Therefore, either Renston’s schoolchildren have been exposed to greater quantities of the chemicals, or they are more sensitive to them than schoolchildren were ten years ago.

 

Which of the following is an assumption on which the argument depends?

 

  1. The number of school nurses employed by Renston’s elementary schools has not decreased over the past ten years.
  2. Children who are allergic to the chemicals are no more likely than other children to have allergies to other substances.
  3. Children who have allergic reactions to the chemicals are not more likely to be sent to a school nurse now than they were ten years ago.

  4. The chemicals are not commonly used as cleaners or pesticides in houses and apartment buildings in Renston.
  5. Children attending elementary school do not make up a larger proportion of Renston’s population now than they did ten years ago.

   Answer:

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不知道我理解的对不对,假如每个Category都含有相同数目的Domestic Films和 Foreign films, 则每个任选一个的几率就一样了。
但是,Foreign的把好的(假如前几名的)去竞争很少的Categories,极端情况下ONly one category, 就如中国田忌赛马样的结果, 总体的Foreign rate of acceptance就会低了

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同意楼上的分析

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