1.
本月2次 argument:一个地方的sports center 开了个游泳池,夏天的时候有百分之二十的会员增长,为了增加会员数目和费用,于是他们决定要多开发各种项目像:tenniscourt,然后又说他们是这个地区里唯一一个有这些项目的,是有competitiveadvantages 的。 上月机经 4次 原题:The following appeared as part of a business plan created by themanagement of the Take Heart Fitness Center: “After opening the new swimming pool early last summer, Take Heartsaw a 12 percent increase in the use of the center by its members. Therefore,in order to increase membership in Take Heart, we should continue to add newrecreational facilities in subsequent years: for example, a multipurpose gameroom, a tennis court, and a miniature golf course. Being the only center in thearea offering this range of activities would give us a competitive advantage inthe health and recreation market.”(102) 提供观点: 1.
忽略他因。 2.
错误类比。 3.
收入和支出 1.
causaloversimplification 2.
abenefit-cost analysis should be given 3.
Whetherthe proposed recreational facilities are popular among the people of this areais unknown. 北美范文: BecauseTake Heart Fitness Center experienced a 12percent increase in member usage as a result of opening a new swimming poollast summer, the author recommends the addition of new recreational facilitiesin subsequent years as a means of increasing membership in Take Heart. Theauthor’s recommendation is problematic for several reasons. First, and foremost, the author assumes that an increase inmember usage portends an increase inmembership. This assumption may hold true in some cases. However, it isunlikely to hold true in the case at hand,because it is reasonable to expect that members would visit the fitness centerto inspect and try out the new swimming pool. This would account for theincrease in usage. However, since the author provides no evidence that this newrate of usage was sustained, the abrupt increase in usage provides littleevidence that the addition of facilities such as the pool will attract newmembers. Second,the author assumes that the addition of the swimming pool was responsible forthe increase in member usage. However, the only evidence for this claim isinsufficient to establish the causal claim inquestion. While temporal precedence is one ofthe conditions required to establish a causal relationship between two events,by itself it is not a sufficient condition. Consequently, it is possiblethat the addition of the pool was unrelated to the increase in usage in themanner required by the author’s argument. Finally,the author has provided no evidence to support the contention that Take Heartwill be the only center in the area to offer a wide range of activities to itsmembers and thus have a competitive advantage in the fitness market. Inconclusion, the author’s belief that adding additionalrecreational facilities will increase TakeHeart’s membership is ill-founded. To strengthen the argument the author wouldhave to provide evidence that member usage is reliable indicator of newmembership. Additionally, it would be necessary to show that the cause of theincrease in usage was the opening of the new pool. |