- 精华
- 1
- 积分
- 2263
- 经验
- 2263 点
- 威望
- 146 点
- 金钱
- 1509 ¥
- 魅力
- 629
|
2、 果
(1) 无因果联系:
A、时序性因果攻击:即因为A发生在B之前,故A是引起B的原因
Firstly, the author is engaged in “after this, therefore , because of this”fallacy, assuming that A caused B. The line of reasoning is that because A happened before B, the former caused the latter. However , this reasoning is fallacious unless other possible causal factors have been considered and ruled out. For example , perhaps C is the cause of A. Or perhaps……Yet another possibility is that……. As a result, any decision aimed at addressing the problem of B must be based on more thorough investigation to gather data in order to narrow down and locate the actual cause of B.
B、 同时性因果攻击:即相关性当做因果关系
Secondly , the author’s argument rests on the assumption that A is the cause of B just because A coincides with B. However, a mere positional correlation does not necessarily prove a causal relationship. In addition, all other prospective causes of B ,such as C and D, must be ruled out. Without detailed analysis of the cause of B, it would be groundless to attribute B to A.
C、 因果倒置
At last, it is possible that the author has confused cause with effect respecting…….(B的内容) Perhaps A was simply a response to previous B-----B that has simply continued during the most recent two years. Since the author fails to account for this possibility, the claim that……is completely unwarranted.
D、因果关系简单化:在证据不足的时候,往往认为结果只由一个原因引起
Thirdly, the author perceived A as the only factor that caused B. A more detailed analysis would reveal that other factors far outweigh the factor on which the author focuses. For example, C and D are also possible to be the cause of B. Lacking a more comprehensive analysis of the causes, it is presumptuous for the author to claim that A solely determined B. |
|