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标题: GWD-7-Q37 [打印本页]

作者: cher6068 时间: 2012-12-22 14:50 标题: GWD-7-Q37

GWD-7-Q37 1.
GWD-7-Q37:
Escalating worldwide demand for corn has led to a sharp increase in the market price of corn, and corn prices are likely to remain high.
Corn is extensive used as feed for livestock, and because profit margins are tight in the livestock business, many farmers are expected to leave the business.
With fewer suppliers, meat prices will surely rise.
Nonetheless, observers expect an immediate short-term decrease in meat prices.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to justify the observers’ expectation?

A    The increase in corn prices is due more to a decline in the supply of corn than to a growth in demand for it.

B    Generally, farmers who are squeezed out of the livestock business send their livestock to market much earlier than they otherwise would.

C    Some people who ate meat regularly in the past are converting to diets that include little or no meat.

D    As meat prices rise, the number of livestock producers is likely to rise again.

E    Livestock producers who stay in the business will start using feed other than corn more extensively than they did in the past.

答案：B。我选E，以为不用玉米喂养，价格就不升。请问这个逻辑错在哪里。另外
没有搞明白，为什么比以前早送到市场上，牲畜的价格就跌了呢？请高人指教。

谢谢。

作者: kaneroy 时间: 2012-12-23 10:27

B---for example, if a farmer has 10 livestock at home to sell, he sells 5 livestock each time in the market when he is still in business.
if he's going to be squeezed out of business, he will sell 10 livestock at a time.
for the market, take his first time in both cases, one is 5 livestock, the other one is 10 livestocks, apparently, the second time indicates great increase in the livestock demand. In other words, he increase the demand in advance. This solve the discrepancy of the question.
E---corn is the principal feeding food for livestock,
more feeding---more livstock---more demand---low price
in this logic, we should use corn more extensively than ever.
Even if E changes this, it's still not right.
the key of this question is the price has declined just short-term---temporarily, if we keep increasing demand, the price will keep decreasing and never come back.

作者: ozymen 时间: 2012-12-24 06:44

Generally, farmers who are squeezed out of the livestock business send their livestock to market much earlier than they otherwise would.
otherwise該作何解釋才好呢???

作者: annazyan 时间: 2012-12-24 21:14

是因为……
结论说肉的价格立即短期的下跌
题目说，需求高了，玉米贵了，养猪的人转行了，所以猪的供给少了，导致猪价会上升以上都没问题（With fewer suppliers, meat prices will surely rise，注意surely）
但是养猪的人转行之后，就会把自己的猪送到市场上，会导致市场上的猪段时间内增多，导致价格 immediately short term decrease
E 的话说那些还留在养猪行业的人开始广泛的用非玉米饲料。这只会事猪的价格上涨，而不是下跌

作者: ozymen 时间: 2012-12-25 20:41

nerally, farmers who are squeezed out of the livestock business send their livestock to market much earlier than they otherwise would.

otherwise該怎麼翻譯才好呢???

誰救救我

作者: my8822180001 时间: 2012-12-26 06:58

nerally, farmers who are squeezed out of the livestock business send their livestock to market much ...
ozymen 发表于 2012-12-25 20:41

farmers who are squeezed out of the livestock business 的取非，就是正常情况下卖的时间

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