When trying to
identify new technologies that promise to transform the marketplace, market
researchers survey the managers of those companies that are developing new
technologies. Such managers have an enormous stake in succeeding, so they
invariably overstate the potential of their new technologies. Surprisingly,
however, market researchers typically do not survey a new technology’s
potential buyers, even though it is the buyers-not the producers-who will
ultimately determine a technology’s commercial success.

     

Which of the
following, if true, best accounts for the typical survey practices among market
researchers?

A       If a new technology succeeds, the commercial benefits accrue largely to the producers, not to the buyers, ofthat technology.

B       People who promote the virtues of anew technology typically fail to consider that the old technology that iscurrently in use continues to be improved, often substantially.

C       Investors are unlikely to invest substantial amounts of capital in a company whose own managers are  skeptical about the commercial prospects of a new technology they are  developing.

D       The potential buyers for not-yet-available technologies can seldom be reliably identified.

E       The developers of a new technology are    generally no better positioned than its potential buyers to gauge how  rapidly the new technology can be efficiently mass-produced.

谢谢