97. A scientific theory is a good theory if it satisfies two requirements: it must accurately describe a large class of observations in terms of a model that is simple enough to contain only a few elements, and it must make definite predictions about the results of future observations. For example, Aristotle’s cosmological theory, which claimed that everything was made out of four elements---earth, air, fire, and water---satisfied the first requirement, but it did not make any definite predictions. Thus, Aristotle’s cosmological theory was not a good theory.
If all the statements in the passage are true, each of the following must also be true EXCEPT:
(A) Prediction about the results of future observations must be made by any good scientific theory
(B) Observation of physical phenomena was not a major concern in Aristotle’s cosmological theory.
(C) For elements can be the basis of a scientific model that is simple enough to meet the simplicity criterion of a good theory.
(D) A scientific model that contains many elements is not a good theory.
(E) Aristotle’s cosmological theory described a large class of observations in terms of only four elements.
答案是B。
我想问C项不是只满足了第一个条件吗，并没有满足第二个条件 it must make definite predictions about the results of future observations，为什么也是good theory呢？
请NN指点作者: linglingdan 时间: 2010-9-16 06:45
我读下来，觉得B从原文中无法推出，原文讲得是a large class of observations of a model和physical phenomena无法对应。
B，亚里士多德的理论基本四元素是earth, air, fire, and water，他们本身就是物理现象，题中说Observation of physical phenomena （物理现象）was not a major concern，这不是鬼扯么！作者: zhongyaya 时间: 2010-9-17 06:41
就是说好的理论有两个标准，其中simplicity则概括了第一个标准，对吗？
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