返回列表 发帖

OG-139请教

Roland: The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they
know someone who is unemployed.
Sharon: But a normal, moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent, with 1 out of 20 workers
unemployed. So at any given time if a person knows approximately 50 workers, 1 or more will
very likely be unemployed.

139. Sharon's argument relies on the assumption that
(A) normal levels of unemployment are rarely exceeded

(B) unemployment is not normally concentrated in geographically isolated segments of the
population
(C) the number of people who each know someone who is unemployed is always higher
than 90% of the population
(D) Roland is not consciously distorting the statistics he presents
(E) knowledge that a personal acquaintance is unemployed generates more fear of losing
one's job than does knowledge of unemployment statistics

答案是B,我的理解是Sharon的论点基于这样的assumption-----失业问题不是仅仅孤立地集中在失业人口上(还要看失业比例). 不知道这样理解对吗?

感觉很绕弯弯,我觉得得出结论的假设应该主要基于"if a person knows approximately 50 workers"

收藏 分享

看一下OG对B的解释,很清楚的。正常情况是5%(1/20),可结论是1/50,怎么得出的呢,因为有个必要条件(NC):unemployment is not normally concentrated in geographically isolated segments of the population。推理过程就是:5%+B得出1/50,假设是B。

TOP

返回列表

站长推荐 关闭


美国top10 MBA VIP申请服务

自2003年开始提供 MBA 申请服务以来,保持着90% 以上的成功率,其中Top10 MBA服务成功率更是高达95%


查看