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GWD 31-19

19: Sonya: The government of Copeland is raising the cigarette tax. Copeland’s cigarette prices will still be reasonably low, so cigarette consumption will probably not be affected much. Consequently, government revenue from the tax will increase.



Raoul: True, smoking is unlikely to decrease, because Copeland’s cigarette prices will still not be high. They will, however, no longer be the lowest in the region, so we might begin to see substantial illegal sales of smuggled cigarettes in Copeland.



Raoul responds to Sonya’s argument by doing which of the following?



A: Questioning the support for Sonya’s conclusion by distinguishing carefully between No change and no decrease

B: calling Sonya’s conclusion into question by pointing to a possible effect of a certain change.

C: Arguing that Sonya’s conclusion would be better supported if Sonya could cite a precedent for what she predicts will happen.


D: showing that a cause that Sonya claims will be producing a certain effect is not the only cause that could produce that effect
E: pointing out that a certain initiative is not bold enough to have the predicts it will have



这道题欧选A,有朋友选D。大家来讨论讨论吧
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A. 肯定错。通篇都没有看见"no change

B. 我选这个。香烟价格的上升导致非法香烟的流入因此政府税收不一定会增加

C. 完全不相干

D. 不对。Raoul没有指出税收上升或者吸烟人数不下降的另外一个原因,他指出的是税率上升的另外一个结果

E. 傻的都知道不对

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恩,欧当时在A和B间徘徊了一会儿,选了A。

other comments?

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应该是B.比较清楚。

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vote for B

S说:税增加了,价格不会高到减少消费,所以总量不变的情况下,政府税收会增加

R说:增税引起的价格变化不会减少消费,但是会使得周边地区价格低于本国的价格,从而促使走私更便宜的香烟。所以,还是会减少政府税收   (因为,走私香烟的收入是不算入政府税收的)

--->所以R是通过提出另一个可能的变化来question S的

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解释得很清楚

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I go with B.

Anybody has an accurate answer to this question?

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当然是B

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