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Help?LSAT Section6-III-15

15. Twenty years ago the Republic of Rosinia produced nearly 100 million tons of potatoes, but last year the harvest barely reached 60 million tons. Agricultural researchers, who have failed to develop new higher yielding strains of potatoes, are to blame for this decrease, since they have been concerned only with their
own research and not with the needs of Rosinia.
Which one of the following is an assumption on which the argument depends?
(A) Any current attempts by agricultural researchers to develop higher-yielding potato strains are futile.
(B) Strains of potatoes most commonly grown in Rosinia could not have produced the yields last year that they once did.
(C) Agricultural researchers often find concrete solutions to practical problems when investigating seemingly unrelated questions.
(D) Wide fluctuations in the size of the potato crop over a twenty-year period are not unusual.
(E) Agricultural research in Rosinia is funded by government grants.
answer:B my choice:A
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原题是说:20年前土豆的产量怎么高,去年的产量怎么低。因为产量的减少,农业研究者就被责怪了。最后作者为农业研究者辩护,认为大家只是从供给的角度来考虑这个问题,认为减产就是因为研究者的错误,而没有考虑到Rosinia自身的需求。
后面的推论都是很辨证的。前面以20年前的产量高和去年的产量低来判断减产,也就假设了B的这种情况。
上面只是我的个人见解,仅供参考。希望有更好的解释。


[此贴子已经被作者于2003-11-11 22:36:57编辑过]

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补充:1. A中的any过于绝对化,从题中无法推知,注意逻辑题中,一定要从题目中所给出的条件严格推出,不可以加入自己的想像。

2.对于assumption题型:有一种方法是把选项中的not去掉,B中的not去掉后,原文的推论不成立,所以说明B 是一个假设。

3、对 linsonstudy的翻译有一定的不同意见,我认为结论是:产量的下降是由于研究者们过于关注自己的研究,而不是关注Rosinia的需求。文中并没有提到供给的概念。
No matter what happens ,tomorrow is another day ! I am hope!:)

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hopejie是正确的。我错在理解错了they指代的对象。谢谢更正!!!

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