Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that the finance minister’s plan will not result in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports next year?

The value of the argon rose sharply last year against the world’s strongest currencies.

In 1988 the argon lost a small amount of its value, and Aronian exports rose slightly in 1989.

The value of Argonia’s exports was lower last year than it was the year before.

All of Argonia’s export products are made by factories that were operating at full capacity last year, and new factories would take years to build.

Reductions in the value of the argon have almost always led to significant reductions in the amount of goods and services that Argonians purchase from abroad.

答案是D。

但是细看D也不完全对。工厂全负荷生产不表明生产出的产品全部能够出口。比如说，可能现在生产的产品只有90%能够出口。其他10%或者内销或者库存。明年货币贬值当然会有可能促进出口。